Can Computer Models Predict Climate?
Guest post by Christopher Essex, Emeritus Professor of Mathematics and Physics, University of Western Ontario.
The Stark Math Behind Vaccine Mandates
New vaccines have a 98% failure rate after 10 full years in development. How can more than a dozen COVID vaccines possibly be ready for prime time?
Code Red Climate Hype
The United Nations is a hype machine. In the midst of pandemic anxiety, its adds more fear to the fire.
Climate Facts or Leaps of Faith? Governments Can’t Tell the Difference
We have no hard evidence of a crisis. Only expert opinion and best estimates.
That Laughably Wrong Climate Prediction is Now 21 Years Old
A climate scientist at a famous research unit said snow would be a distant memory by now.
Remembering the Korean War
America had good reason to be hostile to Communism.
A Few Months of Hindsight
Journalist George Gilder declared the pandemic over in April. Mathematician Isaac Ben-Israel insisted the virus would burn out everywhere 70 days after it began.
Funerals Have Spiked in Numerous Nations
Across the globe, many more funerals are being held this year than normal.
Secrecy & Stonewalling: China and SARS 1.0
China gave the WHO permission to send in investigators, but wouldn’t allow them near the affected area after they’d arrived. They departed empty-handed, two weeks later.
Sea Turtles and Plastics – The Bigger Picture
Plastics saved sea turtles, when tortoiseshell luxury goods became mass market items.
Racism, Magical Thinking & the Coronavirus
Rather than quarantining travelers, our leaders chose a course of action that led to entire countries being locked down.
Early March Did Not Predict the Future
Certain adamant coronavirus declarations look foolish now.
The Virus and the Fires
When things are dire, humans accomplish amazing feats.
Freeman Dyson: Quotable Quotes
An important scientist has left us, but his books and interviews remain.
Strong Economy Lifts Climate Boat – New Infographic
When the economy falters, so does public support for climate action.
Tipping Points: The Big Picture
The UN said we were at a tipping point in 2007. And in 2009. In a single decade, the media talked about climate tipping points 14,000 times.
Fast & Furious Improvement: 2010-2019
So much progress to celebrate.
Balanced, Static Nature: The Grand Illusion
Change is natural and normal. Let us eat, drink, and be merry.
Turning Dogs Into Dinner
Is there anything climate change can’t do?
Climate Activists Aren’t Joking
Saving the planet: the all-purpose, never-ending justification for more taxes, control, and deprivation.
Climategate: 10 Year Anniversary Reading List
Forget the shallow, conformist media narrative. There’s plenty of sound, perceptive analysis.
Fake Polar Bear Shortage, Fake Indigenous Solidarity
Are activists and academics so committed to a non-existent polar bear shortage they’re willing to sacrifice Inuit lives?
Extreme Politics: The Roger Pielke Jr. Story
Rabid dog climate enforcers will destroy you without conscience or regret.
Refuting the Smear Machine – Part 2
People tell themselves fairy tales about UN organizations – and disparage journalists who shine a light on what’s actually going on.
Before You Vote Green, Please Learn Some History
Pessimists ‘have been repeatedly and decisively proven wrong.’
10th Anniversary Fundraiser
If I’ve helped you better understand the climate debate, the IPCC, the shortcomings of academic research, or that Borg-like entity known as the United Nations, please let me know.
When Government Lies to You
Carbon dioxide is not pollution. Our planet would be a wasteland without it, bereft of both plants and animals.
The Basement, the Penthouse & the 2-Stop Elevator in Between
It’s no longer accurate to talk about the developed vs the developing world.
Thank Goodness for the Industrial Revolution
Long the whipping boy of environmentalists, the Industrial Revolution lifted humanity out of misery and squalor.
Anthropocene: The Media’s Fake Geological Epoch
Journalists declaring something to be the case before it has actually happened is outrageous and unethical.
Hallucinations in High Places (More on the 1988 Hansen Climate Hearing)
Powerful people construct amazingly inaccurate narratives about their own lives.
Journalists Relied on James Hansen’s Say-So
The media’s climate frenzy was sparked by a scientist who’s research was still unpublished.
Ehrlich’s Guide to Being an Intrusive A**hole
People with 8 kids should be told they “surely would not behave that way today.” Those considering a third should be accused of self-indulgence.
Why Paul Ehrlich Matters
If it had been within his power to take the steps he insisted were necessary, the human rights abuses would have been horrendous.
The Fanatical Paul Ehrlich
Saving the world = demonizing alternative visions
Anything Goes When You’re Saving the World
Paul Ehrlich advocated the use of US helicopters so that Indian peasants could be kidnapped & forcibly sterilized.
Europe’s Jews Are Living in Fear
Naive compassion for some people endangers the safety of others.
Why is Discrimination Against Asians OK?
Full-fledged racism is being practiced by the very institutions that claim to abhor it.
Swedish for Suicide
Freedom of the press died in Sweden 25 years ago.
Why We Need Jordan Peterson
While the rest of us are playing hopscotch, he’s battling humanity’s demons.
Freedom to Speak, Freedom to Hear
University activists now behave like fascists: stifling unpopular perspectives and denying others the opportunity to hear those perspectives firsthand.
Experts Suck at Predicting the Future
Being an expert in a particular field doesn’t make you smart about the big picture.
Were Aerosol Spray Cans Really a Threat?
Politicians will pass laws – and regulators will issue bans – long before there’s strong evidence of harm.
Steven Chu’s Juvenile Score Keeping
When someone’s won a Nobel Prize, who cares how long they served in Cabinet?
Science and the Issue of Trust
Many messages emanating from the world of science are entirely bogus.
Power Transfer at Greenpeace
Why did Kumi Naidoo leave Greenpeace’s top job before a replacement was found? The Guardian prints clichés and asks no hard questions.
As the Paris Climate Summit Fades Into History, A Real News Story
A US Senate committee hears that climate science is so intolerant and close-minded, the integrity and reputation of science itself is threatened.
Doom Mongers: the Quiz
Activists have predicted environmental catastrophe for decades. In addition to a poor track record, they share similar arguments, language, and metaphors.
Getting Serious About Climate
For 15 years, we’ve been scolded and cajoled. As the December climate summit approaches, global warming rhetoric has grown seriously threadbare.
The Future Isn’t Ours to Dictate
It is not the business of today’s politicians to decide which energy sources will be used 85 years from now.
Murder & Misinformation
Ordinary citizens have been force-fed a diet of dubious climate claims. Is it a surprise that some people now equate climate skepticism with murder?
Greenpeace, Auschwitz & Mass Murder
A Greenpeace activist thinks ‘the world would be a better place’ without a journalist who questions climate orthodoxy. Seventy years after the liberation of Auschwitz, he says we’d ‘solve a great deal of the world’s problems by chopping off everyone’s heads.’
Celebrities, the UN & Ad Agencies
Celebrities are making public pronouncements about the upcoming climate summit in Paris. Just as they did about the Copenhagen summit six years ago.
The climate crisis is the latest in a long line of predictions about how bad things are going to be in the future. Let’s remember that while scary headlines sell newspapers, journalists have a terrible track record.
When Emissions Disappear, So Do Jobs
The dirty little secret behind every pie-in-the-sky climate measure is that when emissions disappear, so do jobs, economic opportunities, and human well-being.
Saving Civilization: 2009 vs 2015
Five years ago, we were told that the 2009 Copenhagen climate summit was the last chance to save civilization. As the 2015 Paris summit approaches, the same sort of fear mongering is ramping up. Part 3 of 4
The WMO’s Macabre Climate Fiction
Rather than persuading us with reason and logic, the World Meteorological Organization has recruited TV weather presenters to deliver pretend weather reports from the year 2050.
Skepticism Used to be a Scientific Virtue
20 years ago, scientific superstar Carl Sagan urged us to use our brains – to be actively skeptical.
A Historical Perspective on Hysterical Rhetoric
Environmental activists have been declaring that the sky is falling since at least 1948. We aren’t the first generation to care – or to be raised on eco scare stories.
Warmth: Another Word for Well-Being
Rather than bringing pine logs to the poor, 21st-century energy policies do the exact opposite. More children now shiver in the cold.
Doubt is Not a Sin
When did “Question Authority” stop being applicable?
Distressed Planet, 1990 – 2013
Back in 1990, the head of the UN said our planet was ailing. Fast forward a quarter of a century, and a Worldwatch Institute press release issued today continues the ‘planet in distress’ meme.
The Earth League: Self-Important, Self-Appointed Busybodies
Once again, people described as “leading scientists” turn out to be economists, UN officials, and those with links to activist organizations.
More on Stephen Emmott, Author of ‘Ten Billion’
A new book appears to be a rehash of 40-year-old environmental scaremongering endorsed by that era’s men of science.
The Coming Hellhole – Exhibit #7 of the Drama Queen Files
Emergency! Catastrophe! Earth is turning into an unprecedented hellhole – according to an Oxford professor and Microsoft official.
Dumb Energy vs Smart Energy
Supplying electricity to a typical family for 12 hours requires the pedal power of 80 elite cyclists. The same amount of electricity can be purchased from the grid for under $5.
Have We Run Out of Time Yet?
It isn’t your imagination. You’ve been hearing that the world is “running out of time” for years.
The Open Letter to American Universities
Eminent individuals are urging US educators to encourage a genuine campus debate about fossil fuels.
Why Fossil Fuels Improve the Planet
A free, shortish book defends – and celebrates – oil and coal.
So You Want to Live in Harmony with Nature?
The WWF thinks we should all “live in harmony with nature.” Sounds great – except for the flies, wasps, venomous snakes, storms, and floods.
The Scare Story of 1881
Back in the 19th century, newspapers declared that something had “gone wrong” with the climate. The public was told that the telegraph system might cause the destruction of the human race.
The Male-Dominated Green Landscape
Why are female leaders rarer than rubies in green organizations?
Earth Day an Oil Industry Scam?
According to 1960s radicals, the environmental movement has been funded and orchestrated by fossil fuel interests.
Earth Day 1970 (The Drama Queen Files, Exhibit #4)
The language being used in 1970, the year Earth Day was born, hasn’t changed much: Crisis. Catastrophe. Endangered. Extinction.
Speaking of the Children
Half of children perish in pre-industrial societies. Take your pick: a bucolic, green fantasy world – or one that’s safe for kids.
It’s Always Something (the 1924 edition)
Drama queen scientists have been around for at least 89 years.
Recent Decades: An Amazing Global Success Story
Far fewer human beings perish before their fifth birthday than ever before. More of us live longer. This is worth celebrating.
Deja Vu All Over again…1991’s ‘World on Fire’
Before there was Al Gore, there was George Mitchell. Politicians have been casting themselves as environmental crusaders, saving the planet, for two decades.
How Science (Really) Works
A new report argues that alternative perspectives are vital to the scientific process. Expecting dispassion from individual researchers is probably a lost cause.
Energy Rocks Our World
Affordable, reliable energy – a big reason most children now make it to adulthood.
Rio’s Anti-Democracy Summit
According to the head of the United Nations, only one vision of the future is acceptable.
Der Spiegel Skewers the World Wildlife Fund
A splendid and disturbing investigative feature in Der Spiegel explains why the WWF doesn’t deserve your charitable donations.
The UN’s Environmental ‘Holocausts’
Since the 1970s UN officials have tried to frighten us. Repeatedly, their predictions have failed. Repeatedly, their time frames have been preposterously inaccurate.
Mother Mexico & the Jackals
How are green groups different from yesterday’s colonial powers? Their global agenda is paramount, their lack of empathy for ordinary people breathtaking.
Eco Narcissists & Their Last Chances
For half a century green activists have insisted that their historical moment – and a particular generation – are the planet’s last hope.
Earth Hour: Corporations Preaching Morality
When you dim your lights for Earth Hour, you’re protesting in a manner approved by multinational corporations. You’re allowing banks and insurance companies to tell you how to spend your Saturday night.
Pachauri Pushes Emissions Reduction – Again
The IPCC is supposed to be “policy-neutral, never policy-prescriptive.” How can it be OK for its chairman to lobby for one policy in particular?
Pachauri: It’s Too Late to Fight Climate Change
Back in 2007 IPCC chairman Pachauri made a prediction regarding the year 2012.
The World’s Slowest Learners
UN bureaucrats say climate change is a planetary emergency and that time is running out. So when US senators unanimously rejected the Kyoto Protocol where was Plan B?
Over-the-Top Climate Rhetoric
Emotional, over-the-top language doesn’t come from real leaders in a time of real crisis. Rather, it’s a sign that someone’s trying to stampede public opinion.
UN Climate Warnings Are So 1989
22 years ago the UN said we had only 10 years to take global warming action. Otherwise, entire nations would drown due to rising sea levels by the year 2000.
Al Gore’s Money-Grubbing
Al Gore says climate change is a planetary emergency. But he’ll only tell a campus audience about it if the cheque is big enough.
The Y2K Scare, the Media & Climate Change
Media coverage of climate change has a great deal in common with how the press covered the Y2K scare. There’s little evidence that news outlets learned much from that embarrassing episode.
Greenpeace’s Fear Machine
17 years ago a Greenpeace report titled The Climate Time Bomb tried to frighten us with lurid images and dire predictions that have since failed.
Two Population Predictions
40 years ago scientists said radical change was necessary if humanity was to survive. Along the way they endorsed a population prediction that now seems foolish.
David Suzuki is a Drama Queen
While the rest of us approach challenges with determination, optimism, and faith in ourselves as problem solvers, drama queens see only worst-case scenarios. They exaggerate. They emotionalize.
The Case of Michael Oppenheimer
Perhaps the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change doesn’t regard activist scientists as damaged goods because neither the National Academy of Sciences nor the American Association for the Advancement of Science does, either.
Three Cheers for New Tech
When people in affluent counties embrace new technologies we’re helping to make the entire world a better place. Really.
When the Lights Go Out
Having just spent 17 hours without electricity, I’m feeling especially keen on a stable energy supply.
The State of the IPCC’s Leadership
Rajendra Pachauri, as chairman of what is supposed to be a respectable science body, has – with deliberation and forethought – publicly linked that body to left-wing political analysis and activism.
Pachauri’s Pal – the Worldwatch Institute
Before the IPCC was even founded, the Worldwatch Institute had already declared that global warming was caused by fossil fuels. Surely that makes the IPCC chairman’s decision to fraternize with this activist organization a bit awkward.
Why is Humanity Always the Fall Guy?
Museums acknowledge that, historically, Mother Nature killed off fish and caused glaciers to retreat. So why do these same institutions imply that similar events in the here-and-now are solely the fault of humans?
The Horse Manure Problem
In the late 1800s cities were drowning in smelly, dirty, disease-spreading horse manure. The private automobile was a huge step forward, environmentally-speaking.
Earth to Scientists
Half a century ago, a science journalist discovered that anything less than reverential reporting was interpreted by scientists as hostility. It would seem that climate scientists who label critics ‘anti-science’ come from a long tradition.
Was the Fix In Before the IPCC Existed?
In 1970s and ’80s some scientists already believed human CO2 emissions would cause global warming. How do we know the IPCC’s 2007 conclusions weren’t preordained?
An IPCC History Lesson
A full 13 years before the IPCC was born its first chairman seems to have already decided that fossil fuels affected the climate so adversely their use would need to be curtailed.
Is Everything Really Getting Worse?
David Suzuki says the planet is in “far worse shape” today than 50 years ago. But a growing library of exhaustively researched books claim the opposite.
The Sad State of the Debate
According to some people, only a “climatologist” can be a credible scientific voice in the climate debate. Why do we spend so much time trying to disqualify people – rather than addressing their ideas?
Flooding in Australia
Australia’s poets have written about alternating droughts and floods since the early 1900s. Is a preoccupation with alleged global-warming-induced-droughts linked to too little government attention on precautionary flood measures?
New Blog Examines Green History
Haunting the Library, a new blog, digs up news clippings that add important historical context to the climate debate.
Baby, It’s Cold Outside
It isn’t your imagination. We were advised that global warming would mean milder winters. The record-breaking cold temperatures & unusual snowfalls in recent years are odds with the claim that global warming is happening faster than predicted.
The Climate’s Gonna Kill Us (Circa 1974)
News reports from the 1970s said ocean temperatures were dropping, polar ice was growing, and the coldest temperatures in 200 years were being recorded at the Arctic Circle. We were told be worried. Very worried.
Forty Years of Drama Queen Scientists
No matter what the concern, drama queen scientists have been pushing the same solution for decades: less consumption, less travel & less freedom. For them, every problem is a crisis that requires radical social change.
If the Science is So Persuasive, Why the Theatrics?
If climate change science is so convincing, why did Timothy Wirth schedule James Hansen’s historic 1988 testimony during the hottest time of the year? And why did he sneak into the hearing room the night before & open the windows so there’d be no air conditioning?
World War II Rationing – the ‘Hated Sacrifice’
Some people argue that energy rationing of the sort imposed during wartime is necessary to save the planet. But World War II rationing made life miserable for ordinary people. It also nourished the black market & organized crime.
The Royal Society’s Big Oil Award
The UK’s Royal Society awarded an Esso Energy medal annually for 25 years. A short time later, when opinions on climate change diverged, the society began painting Esso’s parent company, ExxonMobil, as demon spawn.
The Non-Stop Disaster Narrative (2-minute video)
One environmental scare story always seems to follow another. Even though the predicted disasters never materialize, we still believe the latest one.
Wind and Solar in Fantasy Land
A + B = C
A: Certain companies produce wind and solar power.
B: The rest of us pay inflated prices for this power.
C: Politicians point to the above as proof that they’re green.
Are Humans Parasites?
Hostage-taker James Lee’s views about the planet being better off without humans are chillingly similar to those expressed by The Ecologist magazine in its debut editorial.
1969 Climate Predictions Miss by a Mile
Back in 1969, smart people made some predictions regarding the effect carbon dioxide emissions would have on the climate by the year 2000. A 7-degree F increase in temperature and 10-foot sea level rises were among them. As usual, the predictions were wrong.
Earth Day & the Media
A historian says that while “other social movements…were frequently ridiculed or dismissed…the mass media accorded considerable respect to the environmental cause” when Earth Day was founded 40 years ago.
Independent Bloggers vs Corporate Environmentalists
30 years ago Greenpeace rented creaky fishing boats. These days it purchases $22-million custom-built mega-yachts. The shoestring voices in the environmental debate now belong to skeptical bloggers.
The Cult of the Expert
Experts have often been spectacularly wrong. Believing their predictions – rather than thinking for ourselves – isn’t smart.
A Bogus 21-Year-Old Climate Prediction
21 years ago, environmental guru Bill McKibben said we’d “burn up” in “a few more decades” if we didn’t stop using fossil fuels.
We’re Always Out-of-Touch with the Future
Scientists have made all sorts of predictions that never panned out. As this 1962 Popular Mechanics issue shows, the media has been hyping these predictions for decades.
Green Time Capsule: 1970 Eco Ideas Not Pretty
The Ecologist magazine declared in its first editorial that humans are parasites, an infection, and a disease on planet Earth. We are “waste products” that long ago “ceased to play a useful ecological role.” Written by the “Godfather of Green,” this editorial is emphatically anti-humanitarian in its outlook. The Ecologist claims to have set “the environmental agenda since 1970.”
The Big Picture: the Y2K Lesson
Certain ideas resurface again & again throughout human history. One of these is the notion that our world is on the brink of collapse. Revisiting news reports about the Y2K computer bug prior to the turn of the century provides an excellent reminder of how the media hypes all sorts of scare stories.
Climate Psychics: 10-Year-Old Snow Prediction Fails Miserably
A decade ago, a climate scientist told the media that snow would be rare in Britain within a few years. But plenty has fallen in 9 of the last 10.
Global Disaster Is So 1976
30+ years ago, we were told humanity faced “global disaster” and “worldwide catastrophe” if we didn’t radically change our lifestyles. That message now gets linked to global warming, but the analysis – and the fear mongering – is much older.
Links to some early reactions and analysis following the release into the public domain of a collection of documents that has come to be called “climategate.”
Our Hyperactive Planet
Planet Earth experiences frequent volcanoes, earthquakes, electrical storms, tsunamis & tornadoes. It’s unlikely that this immense, complex system can be controlled by humans.
We HAVE Heard This Rhetoric Before
A book published in the 1970s argued passionately that society couldn’t afford to ignore the danger posed by global cooling. The evidence was too strong, it said – and scientists who disagreed were being irresponsible. Sound familiar?
Scientific Organizations – Should We Trust Them?
Since the 1970s, some scientists have embraced social & political activism. The public needs to be aware, therefore, that not every pronouncement made by a “scientist” is neutral or disinterested.
Political Idealogues Are Bad for the Environment
When political ideology is taken to an extreme, when it becomes the primary driving force behind decision-making, really bad things happen to both humans and the environment. Mao’s War Against Nature is a scary book – and a cautionary tale.
Al Gore Thinks Your Brain Is Too Primitive
It seems not to have crossed Al Gore’s mind that some of us consider his arguments flawed, his data suspect & his rhetoric overwrought. Instead, he prefers to believe that human neo cortexes are too primitive – that we’re biologically incapable of grasping his apocalyptic message.
James Hansen and the Experts
Activist scientist James Hansen says the “experts agree” that meeting our current energy needs is possible via efficiency measures & carbon-free sources. But lots of experts don’t agree. Does he make a habit of pretending those with contrary opinions don’t exist?
The Wrong Trousers (Common Ground on Kyoto Between Climate Change Skeptics & Believers)
Two professors (who believe human-caused global warming is a problem) argue that the Kyoto Protocol was doomed to fail & that pushing for more policies of this sort wastes precious time.
A pragmatic analysis that reveals common ground between moderate climate activists & moderate climate skeptics.
Billions of years before humans appeared on this planet, the climate was doing something utterly natural – it was changing.