Guide to AR5

As the author of two books about the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), I am well placed to evaluate its 2013-2014 Assessment Report (aka AR5 – which stands for Assessment Report #5).

Are there signs of improvement? Is this organization behaving in a more circumspect and trustworthy manner?

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AR5 – the BIG PICTURE

Another Climate Change Ransom Note – Nov. 2014
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change doing what it does: threatening us with hellfire and damnation.

IPCC Links New Report to Sneering Stephen Schneider – Nov. 2014
An organization whose reputation is in tatters links its new document to a rude, intolerant, highly politicized climate crusader.

Experts Condemn the IPCC at US Hearing – May 2014
Credentialed, experienced critics declare that the UN’s climate panel is politicized – and that many of its conclusions are mistaken.

IPCC Wiki Launched – Volunteers Needed – May 2014
Help annotate the new IPCC report so that it’s more user friendly – and more informative about its authors and source material.

3 Reasons Not to Trust the New Climate Report – Apr. 2014
The IPCC acts as investigator, prosecutor, judge, and jury. It has a long history of recruiting activist personnel, and is led by a man prone to exaggeration.

The IPCC, the Police & Greenpeace – Apr. 2014
Greenpeace isn’t anti-establishment anymore. Now it’s just another arm of the authoritarian, UN green machine.

The IPCC: Bar the Media, Welcome the Activists – Apr. 2014
In Berlin this week, environmental activists were allowed to attend a four-day meeting that journalists were denied access to. This is normal IPCC procedure.

The WWF Activist in Charge at the IPCC – Mar. 2014
Ove Hoegh-Guldberg, the marine biologist who led the IPCC’s Ocean chapter, is a full-blown environmental activist. He recently wrote a politicized foreword to a WWF brochure, and has a long history of employment with both the WWF and Greenpeace.

The IPCC: Providing ‘Hope for Our Earth’ – Mar. 2014
An IPCC document produced for its meeting in Yokohama uses emphatically activist language. What happened to the scientific body delivering a scientific report based on scientific research?

NYTimes Calls this Blog ‘Hostile’ to the IPCC – Nov. 2013
The New York Times reports on the IPCC leak I publicized yesterday. I’m criticized for writing the stories its own reporters have ignored.

The IPCC: Looking 95% Foolish – Oct. 2013
As the gap between its models and reality has grown, the IPCC has become more adamant that its conclusions are correct – rather than more cautious.

The IPCC: Yowling Cat in a Tree – Sept. 2013
I’ve been interviewed about the UN climate panel’s new report. Its future looks bleak.

The Bad Novel and the New Climate Report – Sept. 2013
Pachauri’s 2010 work of fiction and the credibility of the IPCC’s 2013-2014 climate report are now inextricably linked.

9,000 Nobel Pretenders – Sept. 2013
The unadorned truth was door number one. Cringe-worthy exaggeration was door number two. The IPCC made the wrong call.

The IPCC: Not What You Think It Is – Sept. 2013
A fictional UN climate body exists in the minds of the gullible. And then there’s the real IPCC.

The Secret Santa Leak: Translations & IPCC Reaction – Jan. 2013
The IPCC’s response to the leak of three data sticks is typical of that organization. It expects us to accept its version of reality at face value. Its statement provides no opportunity for the public to draw its own conclusions.

The Secret Santa Leak – Jan. 2013
Thanks to a whistleblower, draft versions of most chapters of the IPCC’s upcoming report are now in the public domain. Among the new revelations: the IPCC has learned nothing from the Himalayan glacier debacle.

This Is Called Cheating – Dec. 2012
Months before authors were even selected to write an upcoming IPCC report, its chairman was telling a live audience what conclusion that report would reach.

IPCC Declares Its Intent to Circumvent Expert Reviewers – Dec. 2012
Hundreds of souls have volunteered to serve as IPCC expert reviewers. But the review process lacks integrity – and the system is being gamed.

See a summary of my coverage of the IPCC during the 2013 calendar year here

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WORKING GROUP 2

Bleeding Edge Research in the New IPCC Report – Mar. 2014
In one chapter alone, IPCC personnel relied on unpublished studies 21 times to make their case.

A Mother, a Daughter & a New IPCC Leak – Mar. 2014
Manipulation of a Summary document makes the UN’s climate panel look like an overly-protective, hysterical mother.

UN Employees as IPCC Authors – Mar. 2014
The IPCC’s Chapter 7 was not written by neutral, dispassionate scholars. Three UN employees are among its authors.

Conflict-of-Interest in the IPCC’s New Chapter 7 – Mar. 2014
As a journal guest editor, IPCC lead author Andrew Challinor approved the publication of 9 research papers that are now being cited as evidence in his IPCC chapter.

IPCC Deja Vu: Feedback Ignored, Error Published – Mar. 2014
A research paper doesn’t talk about increased crop damage by insects. But as occurred in the Himalayan glacier incident, the erroneous claim remains in the about-to-be released report.

What Will Disappear from the IPCC Summary? – Mar. 2014
At the United Nations, science doesn’t speak for itself. It’s hammered out during secret, all-nighter negotiating sessions.

IPCC Summary: The Real Story – Nov. 2103
Media outlets remain oblivious to the IPCC’s tainted-by-activism personnel.

New IPCC Leak – Working Group 2′s Summary for Policymakers – Nov. 2013
The latest document the IPCC doesn’t want you to see.

Cogs in the Climate Machine – Jan. 2013 The scientists who write IPCC reports have so little authority that changing the word “systems” to “ecosystems” involves multiple layers of bureaucracy.

Are a Third of IPCC Review Editors MIA? – Jan. 2013
IPCC review editors were supposed to file a report last September. A third of them apparently didn’t bother.

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WORKING GROUP 1

Celebrated Physicist Calls IPCC Summary ‘Deeply Unscientific’ – Dec. 2013
Former CERN official says 65 prominent IPCC authors have abandoned “scientific rigour.”

The IPCC Report as Ink Blot Test – Oct. 2013
What do Greenpeace and the Natural History Museum have in common? They both employ people with impaired reading comprehension skills.

Greenpeace & the IPCC Report – Oct. 2013
Greenpeace says 95% certainty is the same as 100% certainty. Tell that to people who die on the operating table.

10 Pages of IPCC Science Mistakes? – Oct. 2013
Political manipulation of a scientific document – or pages upon pages of newly-discovered scientific errors? You decide.

Fooling Reporters is Easy, Just Ask the IPCC – Oct. 2013
On the basis of a politically-massaged summary and a stack of press advisories, the media has blasted IPCC talking points around the world.

Why the IPCC Meeting Isn’t Being Televised – Sept. 2013
Scientific truth isn’t negotiated in the dead of night behind closed doors.

The IPCC Leak: This is What Transparency Looks Like – Dec. 2012
The IPCC describes itself as a completely transparent organization. If that is the case, the draft chapters of its upcoming report that were leaked on the Internet yesterday should be a non-issue.

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BACKGROUND

Approximately every six years, a United Nations body called the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) writes a massive assessment report. Informally known as the climate bible, this document is supposed to summarize the current state of our knowledge about climate change. Treated as gospel by governments around the world, it is the reason billions are being spent on carbon dioxide emissions reduction.

The bulk of the IPCC’s Fifth Assessment Report (aka AR5), is being released piecemeal throughout 2014 (see this IPCC table)

  • the summary of summaries, known as the Synthesis Report, is expected to be made public in November 2014
  • Working Group 3’s section is scheduled for release on April 13, 2014
  • Working Group 2’s contribution is scheduled for release March 31, 2014
  • the Working Group 1 section of the report was released in late September 2013.

There have been five editions of the climate bible so far:

  • Fifth Assessment Report, 2013-2014 (AR5)
  • Fourth Assessment Report, 2007 (AR4)
  • Third Assessment Report, 2001 (the TAR or AR3)
  • Second Assessment Report, 1995 (the SAR)
  • First Assessment Report, 1990 (sometimes called the FAR)

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